Resident Population Projections 2015-2080

Statistics Portugal released the Resident Population Projections 2015-2080, by sex and age (year by year, up to 95 years old and over) for Portugal and for the NUTS2 regions.

Statistics Portugal (INE) exercise reveals that the resident population in Portugal will decrease until 2080 in any of the projected scenarios. In the central scenario, the population decreases from 10.3 million people in 2015, to 7.5 million in 2080.

In the Autonomous Region of Madeira, the trend in population will be similar. In the central scenario, the Madeiran population will decrease from 256.4 thousand people in 2015 to 165.7 thousand in 2080. This means that in this period of 65 years, the population of the Autonomous Region of Madeira, will decline by 35.4% (-90.7 thousand people).

Moreover, profound changes in the population structure are expected since  the proportion of old-age persons is predicted to continue to grow steadily.

Between 2015 and 2080, the ageing ratio in the central scenario will rise sharply from 105 to 307 old-age persons per 100 young-age persons. In Portugal, this ratio will increase from 147 to 317.

In the same period and scenario, the potential sustainability index for the Autonomous Region of Madeira will drop from 448 to 146 persons of working age for every 100 elderly persons.  In Portugal this index will decrease from 315 to 137.

In the Autonomous Region of Madeira, life expectancy at birth in men will increase from 73.65 years in 2013-2015 to 85.24 years in 2080 and in women from 81.19 years to 90.91 years. In Portugal, life expectancy at birth in men will go up from 77.36 years in 2013-2015 to 87.38 years in 2080 and in women from 83.23 years to 92.10 years.

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