Resident Population Projections 2012-2060

Statistics Portugal released the Resident Population Projections 2012-2060, by sex and age (year by year, up to 95 years old and over) for Portugal and for the NUTS2 regions.

Statistics Portugal (INE) exercise reveals that “the resident population in Portugal tends to decrease until 2060 in any of the projected scenarios. In the central scenario, population decreases from 10.5 million people in 2012, to 8.6 million in 2060“.

In the Autonomous Region of Madeira, the trend in population will be similar. In the central scenario, the Madeiran population will decrease from 263.1 thousand people in 2012 to 219.4 thousand in 2060. This means that in the next 48 years, the population of the Autonomous Region of Madeira, will decline by 16.6% (-43.7 thousand people).

Moreover, profound changes in the population structure are expected since  the proportion of old-age persons is predicted to continue to grow steadily.

Between 2012 and 2060, the ageing ratio in the central scenario will rise sharply from 91 to 338 old-age persons per 100 young-age persons. In Portugal, this ratio will increase from 131 to 307.

In the same period and scenario, the potential sustainability index for the Autonomous Region of Madeira will drop from 474 to 152 persons of working age for every 100 elderly persons.  In Portugal this index will decrease from 349 to 149.

For more information, please click on:

• Resident Population Projections 2012-2060

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